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Tour de France · Giro · Vuelta · The Monuments · Clip in.
| Tours covered | Tour de France, Giro d’Italia, Vuelta a España, the Monuments, full UCI World Tour, World Championships |
| Tour de France | 21 stages · 3 weeks · July · 23 teams of 8 riders |
| Giro d’Italia | 21 stages · 3 weeks · May · pink jersey GC |
| Vuelta a España | 21 stages · 3 weeks · August to September · red jersey GC |
| The Monuments | Milan-San Remo, Tour of Flanders, Paris-Roubaix, Liège-Bastogne-Liège, Il Lombardia |
| World Championships | Annual · September/October · road race, time trial, track |
| Olympic cycling | Every 4 years · road, track, mountain bike, BMX |
| Market types | Outright GC, stage winner, head-to-head, time-based spreads, props, futures |
| Markets per stage | Hundreds across the Grand Tours · stage winner, H2H, props, in-play |
| Live in-play | In-stage during every Grand Tour broadcast |
| Crypto accepted | BTC, ETH, USDT, LTC, BCH, BSV |
| Minimum bet | $10 USD or crypto equivalent |
| Cap on winnings | None |
Greg LeMond, eight seconds. Paris, July 1989 — the closest Tour de France in history, decided on the final time trial. Tadej Pogačar at La Planche des Belles Filles. Second-to-last day, 2020. Twenty-one years old, takes 1:21 out of Roglič on a 36km time trial, takes the yellow jersey on the penultimate day. Mark Cavendish, 35th stage win. Saint-Vulbas, July 2024. Past Merckx into the record books. Cycling's biggest moments are decided by a single break, a single mountain, a single read of the wind. So are the bets that beat them.
Lucky Rebel covers the full peloton. Three Grand Tours stretched across 21 stages each — the Giro d'Italia in May, the Tour de France in July, the Vuelta a España in August and September. Five Monuments across the spring classics calendar — Milan-San Remo, the Tour of Flanders, Paris-Roubaix (the Hell of the North), Liège-Bastogne-Liège, and Il Lombardia in the autumn. The full UCI World Tour: Paris-Nice, Tirreno-Adriatico, the Critérium du Dauphiné, the Tour de Suisse, the Tour Down Under, and the rest of the season-long calendar. UCI Road World Championships in September. Track cycling, time trials, mountain bike and BMX through the World Championships and Olympic cycles. Outright winners, stage winners, head-to-head matchups, time-based spreads on summit finishes, breakaway and bunch-sprint props, and the full Grand Tour futures book.
If they're rolling out from a départ village somewhere, there's a market on it. Clip in.
Three races of 21 stages each. The Tour de France in July is the standout — the brief calls it directly. It takes the full professional cycling market and stretches it across three weeks of racing, with hundreds of betting opportunities per stage. The Giro d'Italia in May runs across the Italian peninsula with the pink jersey on the line; the Vuelta a España in August and September closes the Grand Tour calendar with the red jersey. Each Grand Tour carries flat stages for the sprinters, mountain stages for the climbers, summit finishes for the GC contenders, and individual time trials where the seconds get shaken out. Lucky Rebel runs the General Classification outright, every stage-winner market, head-to-head matchups, time-based spreads on summit finishes, the polka-dot (mountains) and green (points) jersey outrights, plus best young rider, team classification and stage-by-stage props through every Grand Tour.
Five races that sit alongside the Grand Tours as the most prestigious one-day events in the sport. Milan-San Remo in March is the sprinter Monument — 290km, the longest one-day race on the World Tour calendar, often decided in a bunch sprint after a single decisive climb. The Tour of Flanders and Paris-Roubaix in April are the cobbled classics — Flanders for the punchy climbers, Paris-Roubaix (the Hell of the North) for the heavy power riders who can handle the cobblestone sectors. Liège-Bastogne-Liège in late April is the climber Monument in the Ardennes hills. Il Lombardia in October closes the calendar in the Italian lakes. Lucky Rebel runs full markets on every Monument including the deeper-than-typical-one-day-race prop book that the historical-prestige factor pulls in.
The week-to-week professional calendar. Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico in March are the early-season stage races that set the spring form picture. The Tour Down Under opens the World Tour calendar in Australia every January. The Tour of Romandie in late April, the Critérium du Dauphiné in early June, and the Tour de Suisse in mid-June are the immediate Tour de France build-up races — riders winning the Dauphiné GC routinely shorten their Tour outright price by 30-50% inside a week. The Tour of California, the Tour of Britain and the Tour de Pologne fill out the year. Lucky Rebel runs full markets on every World Tour stage race with GC outrights, stage winners, point classifications and the full head-to-head matchup book.
The UCI Road World Championships run in September each year — a one-day road race for the rainbow jersey plus an individual time trial across both men's and women's elite categories. The UCI Track Cycling World Championships in October cover the velodrome disciplines — sprint, keirin, individual pursuit, team pursuit, points race, madison. Mountain bike and cyclocross have their own World Championships windows. The Olympic Games every four years bring the road race, the time trial, the velodrome programme, the mountain bike cross-country event and BMX racing — five cycling sports across the two-week window. Lucky Rebel runs full markets across every Worlds event and the full Olympic cycling programme when the cycle hits.
The core cycling outright. General Classification (GC) outright winner — the rider with the lowest cumulative time across all stages of a multi-stage race. Race outright winner on one-day Monuments and the World Championships road race. Quarter-of-the-field outrights on the larger Grand Tours. To-podium and top-5 outrights running alongside. Plus the secondary classifications: polka-dot jersey for the mountains classification on the Tour de France, green jersey for the points classification (sprinters), best young rider, and team classification.
GC outrights on the current-era headline names sit at prices that are typically too tight to find structural value in. The brief lays it out directly: you might be better off finding a mid-tier rider on the rise who hasn't been priced properly, or going with cycling futures well in advance where the outright winner odds offer a bigger number. The structural value on Tour de France outrights sits in the November-to-February window before the spring stage races compress the field. On the Monuments, the value sits in the second-tier specialists who fit the parcours against headline-name favourites who don't — Paris-Roubaix favours heavy power riders over pure climbers, Il Lombardia favours climbers over sprinters.
Where the deepest cycling pricing lives. Stage Winner markets price every stage of every Grand Tour and World Tour stage race independently — a flat stage for the sprinters, a summit finish for the climbers, a time trial for the specialists, a transitional stage where the breakaway has a chance. Head-to-Head (H2H) matchups pit two named riders against each other on a specific stage or across the whole race — who finishes higher on GC, who finishes higher on the day, who wins the head-to-head time gap.
Stage-winner markets reward the course-profile read. A pure puncheur — explosive over short climbs — is mispriced on hilly finishes with a 1-2km ramp inside the final 5km, against headline-name sprinters who lose contact when the gradient hits 6%. Time-trial specialists with no GC ambition can dominate 30-40km individual time trials at long odds because the public is pricing the GC favourites. Head-to-head matchups are where the pre-race homework pays — the public handle inflates the headline name on the moneyline-equivalent comparison, and the structural value sits in the mid-tier rider against the brand-name favourite when the matchup-specific reads (course, gradient, weather, team role) point against the favourite.
The cycling-specific specials book. Stage winning margin Over/Under (typical bunch-sprint line sits at 0.75 seconds at -110 either way). Time-based spreads on summit finishes (favourite climber at -6.5 seconds against a GC dark horse on the steepest section). Breakaway to win the stage Yes/No. Number of stage wins per team across the Grand Tour. Nationality of the stage winner. Top 3 on GC after Stage X. Rider to abandon the race before the finish. Head-to-Head Climber Margin (time gap between two named climbers on a mountain stage).
Stage props are where the deeper cycling reads pay. The brief lays it out: on a flat stage, the smart money prices wind forecasts and expected sprint trains to decide if the finish is a tight bunch sprint or a reduced group. On a summit finish, the time-based spread reads on rider-specific climbing form (VAM and W/kg) against the gradient profile. Breakaway-to-win Yes/No markets read on the early-stage course profile — a course with early ascents reduces peloton control and ramps up breakaway-success probability. The structural value sits in matchups where the wind forecast, the gradient, and the team composition all point in the same direction.
The long money. Tour de France outright winner — the headline cycling future, opening in the autumn after the previous Tour and shortening through every spring stage race. Giro d'Italia and Vuelta a España GC outrights running on parallel cycles. Monument outrights opening months ahead of each one-day classic. UCI Road World Championships outright. UCI Track World Championships outrights across every discipline. End-of-season UCI World Ranking #1. Season-long polka-dot, green and best young rider classifications on each Grand Tour. Olympic road race and time trial outrights on the four-year cycle.
Tour de France outrights pay the widest spread in the autumn before the form picture sets. The defending champion is rarely below +200 by January; mid-tier GC contenders sit between +1500 and +5000 and compress sharply through the Critérium du Dauphiné in early June. The Dauphiné is the single highest-line-movement event on the cycling calendar — a Dauphiné GC winner closes their Tour outright price by 30-50% inside a week. Monument outrights open four to six weeks before each race and shorten through the immediate build-up classics. Olympic road race outrights open four years out and pay the longest odds in the first 18 months of the cycle, before national qualification structures settle the field.
Cycling sharps read VAM, W/kg, course-profile gradient, wind forecasts and team composition. Public money tracks yellow jerseys and headline names. The gap between underlying form and the GC standings is where the structural value lives.
Public money tracks the previous Grand Tour's GC finish and the headline rider names. Sharps track VAM (Velocità Ascensionale Media — average ascent speed in vertical metres per hour) and W/kg (watts per kilogram — the power-to-weight ratio that determines climbing). Elite Grand Tour climbers post VAM numbers around 1,800 vertical metres per hour on the steepest climbs and sustain 6.0 to 6.4 W/kg over 20-30 minute efforts. The metrics matter because the public-facing prices lag the underlying power data by weeks. A rider posting elite VAM across the previous month of racing against a course containing three Alpine summit finishes is the structural lean on the stage-winner market against the public-favoured GC headline name.
Course profile is the structural pricing input the books move on the morning of every stage. A flat day with no significant climbs and a tailwind into the finish runs the bunch sprint scenario — the sprint trains control the peloton and the breakaway gets absorbed inside the final 5km. A flat day with crosswinds creates echelons and splits the peloton; the GC standings can change by 30 seconds on a stage that looks routine on paper. Mountain stages where the gradient kicks up to 8%+ on the final climb favour the pure climbers; transitional stages with a single mid-stage climb and a flat finish favour the puncheurs who can split the bunch on the climb then hold off the chase. Read the wind. Read the gradient. The course profile is the leading indicator of the stage scenario.
Team dynamics are the single most public-but-underpriced cycling input. A rider with elite VAM and W/kg numbers might still be the wrong pick if the team dynamics suggest he'll be working as a domestique later in the race — dropping back to protect a GC leader, doing turns on the front to chase down a breakaway, ferrying water bottles up from the team car. The brief calls it directly: elite numbers don't cash if the rider is in service of another. Read the team leadership announcement. Read the previous three stages' work patterns. The domestique-question is the structural lean against headline-name riders on teams where the GC leadership is already locked in.
Live in-play is where the cycling homework compounds. The breakaway forms in the opening 30 to 50km of the stage and the peloton decides early whether to chase it down or let it ride. Once a breakaway has 4 to 6 minutes on the peloton with under 30km to go, the stage-winner market reshapes inside 60 seconds — public money still prices the bunch-sprint favourites, the live line moves toward the break. Crosswinds in the final 50km can split the peloton into echelons and shift GC by 30 seconds on a stage that opened as a bunch-sprint day. Punctures and crashes shift the in-play prices on individual riders within minutes. The volatility windows are short and the books lag the on-the-road picture by the cycle of the broadcast delay.
Lucky Rebel was built for bettors who read the VAM, not just the yellow jersey. Crypto in, crypto out — Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, Bitcoin SV. $10 minimum across all cycling markets. No cap on winnings. Live in-play pricing that moves with the breakaway and the chase. Deep coverage on every Grand Tour stage, every Monument, every UCI World Tour stage race, every Worlds discipline and the full Olympic cycling programme. Outright GC, stage winners, head-to-head matchups, time-based spreads on summit finishes, breakaway and bunch-sprint props, jersey classifications and the year-round Grand Tour futures book — listed early, priced sharp, ready when you are.
Rebel Pick
Read the VAM. Fade the headline name.
Public money chases the yellow jersey, the previous Tour's GC finish and the brand-name climbers. Sharps read VAM and W/kg across the previous month of racing, the course profile, and the team-leadership announcements. A rider posting 1,820+ VAM across the previous two stage races against a course with three Alpine summit finishes is the structural lean on the stage-winner market — even when his name doesn't lead the headline coverage. Read the climbing data. Read the gradient. The headline catches up by next year's Tour.
Lucky Rebel runs full markets on all three Grand Tours — the Tour de France in July, the Giro d’Italia in May, and the Vuelta a España in August and September. The five Monuments — Milan-San Remo, the Tour of Flanders, Paris-Roubaix, Liège-Bastogne-Liège and Il Lombardia. The full UCI World Tour calendar including Paris-Nice, Tirreno-Adriatico, the Critérium du Dauphiné, the Tour de Suisse and the Tour Down Under. UCI Road World Championships in September, plus track cycling, time-trial championships and Olympic road and track events when the cycle hits.
Yes. Lucky Rebel accepts Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash and Bitcoin SV alongside USD via Visa and Mastercard. Crypto deposits and withdrawals are faster, carry higher limits, and come with the privacy Rebels expect. Minimum bet $10. No cap on winnings.
Outright Winner markets price the overall General Classification (GC) of a multi-stage race — the rider who completes all 21 stages of the Tour de France with the lowest cumulative time wins the yellow jersey, and the GC outright settles on that single result. Stage Winner markets price each individual stage independently. A pure climber who can’t podium on GC might still be the best price on a summit finish; a time-trial specialist with no GC ambitions can dominate a 30km individual time trial. The GC outright on the current era’s biggest names sits at short prices that are typically too tight to find structural value in; the stage-winner board is where the specialist rider profiles meet course profile and the value lives in the matchup-specific reads.
VAM is Velocità Ascensionale Media — average ascent speed in vertical metres per hour. It’s the cleanest single-stat read on climbing form at the pro tour level. Elite Grand Tour climbers post VAM numbers around 1,800 vertical metres per hour on the steepest 20-30 minute climbs; tour winners typically average above 1,750 across the major mountain stages. The metric matters because the public prices climbing form off the previous Tour’s GC finish and the headline names; sharps track VAM across the previous month of racing to see who is in form right now versus who is riding into form. A rider posting 1,820+ VAM across the previous two stage races against a course that contains three Alpine summit finishes is the structural lean on the stage-winner market against the public-favoured GC headliner.
Grand Tour outright lines open in the autumn for the following year’s race and shorten through every spring stage race that adjusts the favourites’ form picture. The structural value on Tour de France outrights sits in the November-to-February window before the Critérium du Dauphiné and Tour de Suisse compress the prices. For individual stages, the timing edge lives in the morning before the stage rolls out — the wind forecast, the breakaway permission from the GC teams, and the rider withdrawals from the previous day’s stage all move the prices in the final two hours. The most volatile timing window is the in-play break — once a breakaway has 4 to 6 minutes on the peloton with under 30km to go, the stage-winner market reshapes inside 60 seconds.
Tour de France outrights open at their widest spread in the autumn after the previous edition closes. The defending champion is rarely below +200 by January; mid-tier GC contenders sit between +1500 and +5000 and compress through the spring as the form picture clarifies. The Critérium du Dauphiné in June is the densest pre-Tour line-movement event — a rider winning the Dauphiné GC closes their Tour outright price by 30-50% inside a week. Giro and Vuelta outrights open shorter because the fields are smaller and the GC favourites are more clearly identified earlier in the season. Olympic road race outrights open four years out and pay the longest odds in the first 18 months of the cycle, before national qualification windows settle the field.
W/kg is watts per kilogram — the power-to-weight ratio that determines climbing performance more than any other single number. Elite Grand Tour climbers sustain 6.0 to 6.4 W/kg over 20-30 minute climbs; the very best can hold above 6.5 W/kg for shorter efforts. The metric pairs with VAM to give a complete climbing-form picture. A rider with elite W/kg numbers in training data leaking out of his team is being priced on his previous race results — the public-facing prices lag the underlying power data by weeks. The structural value sits in catching the rider whose W/kg has stepped up versus the rider whose W/kg has plateaued or dropped despite headline results that haven’t yet adjusted.
Yes. The five Monuments — Milan-San Remo, the Tour of Flanders, Paris-Roubaix, Liège-Bastogne-Liège and Il Lombardia — are one-day races that don’t have GC outrights at all. The entire market is the outright winner of a single day, typically 240km to 290km long. Paris-Roubaix (the Hell of the North) is the cobbled classic where rider profile matters more than any other Monument — the cobblestone sectors favour heavier, stronger riders over pure climbers. Milan-San Remo is the sprinter Monument; Il Lombardia is the climber Monument; Flanders and Liège sit in the punchy-classics middle. The structural value in Monument outrights sits in the second-tier specialists who fit the profile against headline-name favourites who don’t suit the parcours.
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